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A few observations by Dan Balz, political columnist for the Washington Post (January 18, 2014) concerning the GOP’s prospects for winning back the White House follow down below.
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The Republican Party’s uphill path to 270 electoral votes in 2016
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Over the past six elections, Republicans have averaged just 211 electoral votes and have not won more than 286 since 1988
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The overall breakdown during the 1992-2012 Presidential election cycles is:
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From 1992-2012, Democrats built a base that rivals or exceeds that of the Republicans in the earlier period. Eighteen states and the District have voted Democratic in each of the six presidential elections. They represent a total 242 electoral votes, according to the current allocation. Three other states, with a total of 15 electoral votes, have backed the Democrats five times.
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Adding together the states that voted Republican or Democratic in at least four of the six elections gave Democrats 281 electoral votes and Republicans 219. Only two states — Colorado and Florida, with a total of 38 electoral votes — were won three times for each party in those six elections.
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The point of all of this is: The GOP faces absolutely daunting odds at ever retaking the White House anytime soon and their intransigence at compromise and penchant for filibustering damn near everything while at the same time alienating every known ethnic “minority” and opposing virtually all women’s health issues ensures that they will become a permanent minority party (as presently constituted) on a national scale.
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They need much more than better candidates. They need a complete overhaul and frankly, that ain’t happening. More than likely, just like the Whig Party of the 1850’s, the 21st-century GOP will morph into a totally different political animal with a new name, but only after getting even further pasted with ignominious defeat!
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Ciao!
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